i’ve got a hunch…

by Karoli on April 2, 2009 · 12 comments

hunch logoI was lucky enough to get an invitation to the closed beta of hunch.com, the newest brainchild of Caterina Fake (one of the original Flickr founders).

Hunch is, without a doubt, one of the more interesting sites I’ve tried recently. In simple terms, it is a decision-making assistant. But it’s really so much more than that. So much, in fact, that I’m writing about it so I don’t lose the ideas that just popped into my head as I was using it.

It works like this: After registration, the user answers lots and lots of questions. Lots. I think my profile says I answered 867 questions in total. They’re easy questions for the most part, intended to train the site as to your specific likes, dislikes, outlooks, problem-solving and social patterns, etc. Each question has an option to skip it entirely, so the user is always in control of what information is given and what is not.

This is important, because it is step one to building trust between user and service. After all, if I answer a question about a moral decision, I’m giving that information to a database, and maybe I want to do that and maybe I don’t, depending on where my privacy limits begin and end. However, the more transparent one is with the questions, the better the possibilities for accuracy as one uses the site.

After teaching the site about who I am, I was left to roam freely around. I could explore the community, send the three invitations I was given, or ask a question and see if I could get an answer. I decided to try a question first. The question I asked was this: What poetry should I read? (Since it’s National Poetry Month and all) I was asked 4 questions, and then given four results.

The results were eerily accurate. Of the four given, I’d read three. But the top result was eerily right – a poet I had just seen today on poets.org and added to my Amazon wish list.

When I started thinking about the possibilities around this, my mind got a little boggled, so I tried another question, somewhat obvious: What car should I buy?

This one was a little trickier, despite its deceptive simplicity. Part of that is because I want it all: fuel economy, storage, comfort, cool stuff like Sticks’ XB has – built in bluetooth, iPod/iPhone link to stereo, steering wheel controls, etc.

The first results weren’t impressive, but I realized that one of the questions I’d answered was wrong — I should have skipped it rather than answered, because fuel economy AND performance are equally important to me. When I went back and answered the questions with that one skipped, it came up with a recommendation that is at the top of my list: The Honda Fit. The second and third fit the answers, but I don’t like the look and am not particularly interested in the brand: Volkswagen Jetta and Golf. The wild card pick was the Hyundai Genesis Coupe, also not a brand I’m interested in.

Each result has a Like/Dislike option, as well as a box for the user to enter pros and/or cons relating to the recommendation. Each time a pro, con, like, or dislike is entered, the user offers a bit more information about themselves, but also about that product, service, or person.

There is also a social network built into the site with a real time activity stream. Right now it has all users on the stream, or one can opt for only seeing the stream of their friends.

Imagine the possibilities here. Not only in the marketing areas, but in areas of emerging interests, concerns, and needs. What they have built is a site around microcommunities and affinity groups, organically grown.

This is an engine driven by trust. And gestures. The possibilities are amazing. In 2006, Steve Gillmor wrote a post about the value of trust with regard to products and services, and this site is one that harnesses the power of trust in amazing ways with mind-bending possibilities. Because users act independently of one another, the trends and swarms that emerge are unlikely to be gamed (think Digg.com as a prime example of gaming), and communities are more likely to form around affinities and interests first.

Keep an eye out for the site to open up. If they give me more invitations, I’ll post about it here and hand them out to commenters. The three I had are gone. The more I think about the possibilities with this place, the more interesting it becomes.

  • http://www.stealthmode.com hardaway

    Cathleen Ritteriser and I tried it the other night and she decided it told her she spent too much time online. She wanted it to tell her what to do with her life:-) On the serious side, it will be very useful in health care if it's developed properly, and perhaps for investment management.

  • http://www.drumsnwhistles.com/ Karoli

    Not just healthcare and investment management. Go back to cars for a
    minute, and the questions it asked. The question I *didn't* answer was
    more important than the ones I did answer. By declining to answer that
    question, I inserted something into the data stream and decision
    matrix that wasn't there before — the gesture that my decision
    encompassed both performance and fuel economy. Why both instead of
    neither? Because neither would make no sense. fuel economy is usually
    the default. But now I've said that both are important to me, which,
    if combined with others answering in a similar fashion, sends a strong
    indicator to manufacturers and designers.

    Not just investing or healthcare by any stretch…every single
    decision you make involves weighing what you want against what's
    available. imagine being able to signal that to the stream, and have
    that gesture combine with other unrelated people who then create the
    swarm, signalling important data to the providers of products and
    services.

  • http://www.drumsnwhistles.com/ Karoli

    One other thought: It's the engine that will be important. The site
    will live in some form, but the development of algorithms and process
    will be the important part of what comes from this site, IMO.

  • http://www.geise.com PXLated

    What happens if your tastes/likes/interests change, has it locked you in? For instance, three friends buy a Hyundai and change your interest/perception but you've thumbed it down previously. If it's learned, it won't recommend Hyundai but know you may be interested.

  • http://www.drumsnwhistles.com/ Karoli

    You can change anything, including your answers to the 867 questions…that's what makes it so interesting — it allows for rethinking.

  • Medela

    I liked reading this post, just keep posts like this coming, I am impressed with your work.

  • http://www.hunch.com Caterina

    Wow! Thanks Karoli. Great review, and we're so glad you like Hunch. Email me on Hunchmail with your username and I'll see if I can set you up with some more invitations! Cheers.

  • http://www.drumsnwhistles.com/ Karoli

    Caterina, my pleasure. It's really an amazing thing. Every time I start thinking about it more possibilities open up.

  • http://www.insideview.ie topgold

    I like Hunch already because it appears to borrow from some of the high-successful community vibes I've enjoyed for years with Flickr. Here's hoping I can leverage Hunch to pry my time away from Twitter.

  • http://www.insideview.ie topgold

    I like Hunch already because it appears to borrow from some of the high-successful community vibes I've enjoyed for years with Flickr. Here's hoping I can leverage Hunch to pry my time away from Twitter.

Previous post:

Next post: